Stenhousemuir 3-1 Montrose — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
34%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.75
Over 2.5
41%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.78
2-3 Goals
46%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
3.8
6+ Goals
7%
17.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-3.0pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.0pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+7.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
53%
+5.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
47%
-5.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.5pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stenhousemuir EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Montrose EU Bookmakers 30%
-5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.86/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.28
+19% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
272 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 0.0
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stenhousemuir
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Montrose
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
29.03.2025 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 2-3 HT 0-3 Montrose Montrose İK1
01.02.2025 Montrose Montrose 0-3 HT 0-1 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
16.11.2024 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 1-0 HT 0-0 Montrose Montrose İK1
14.09.2024 Montrose Montrose 3-0 HT 2-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
19.07.2022 Montrose Montrose 0-2 HT 0-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İKLK
23.03.2019 Montrose Montrose 2-0 HT 1-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
POST-MATCH Stenhousemuir vs Montrose
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stenhousemuir beat Montrose 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Stenhousemuir as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Stenhousemuir and 1.33 for Montrose.

What was the final score of Stenhousemuir vs Montrose?

Stenhousemuir 3-1 Montrose in the Scotland - 1st Division on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stenhousemuir vs Montrose?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stenhousemuir win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Stenhousemuir 43%, draw 23%, Montrose 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stenhousemuir) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stenhousemuir) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İK1 More Scotland - 1st Division
4 Oct 2025
17:00 Kelty Hearts vs Peterhead Analysis →
17:00 East Fife vs Cove Rangers Analysis →
17:00 Hamilton vs Inverness CT Analysis →
19:30 Queen Of The South vs Alloa Athletic Analysis →