Stenhousemuir 2-3 Montrose — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.71
Over 2.5
39%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.69
2-3 Goals
46%
1.73
4-5 Goals
15%
4.0
6+ Goals
8%
19.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.69 — our 31% vs market 30.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.8pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.0pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+6.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
55%
+6.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
45%
-6.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.1pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stenhousemuir EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Montrose EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +13%
1.77/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.14
+15% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +38%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
334 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 0.0
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stenhousemuir
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Montrose
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
01.02.2025 Montrose Montrose 0-3 HT 0-1 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
16.11.2024 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 1-0 HT 0-0 Montrose Montrose İK1
14.09.2024 Montrose Montrose 3-0 HT 2-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
19.07.2022 Montrose Montrose 0-2 HT 0-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İKLK
23.03.2019 Montrose Montrose 2-0 HT 1-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
09.02.2019 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 1-0 HT 0-0 Montrose Montrose İK1
POST-MATCH Stenhousemuir vs Montrose
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montrose nicked a narrow win over Stenhousemuir 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Stenhousemuir at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stenhousemuir had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Stenhousemuir and 0.83 for Montrose.

What was the final score of Stenhousemuir vs Montrose?

Stenhousemuir 2-3 Montrose in the Scotland - 1st Division on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stenhousemuir vs Montrose?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stenhousemuir win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Stenhousemuir 41%, draw 26%, Montrose 33%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Stenhousemuir) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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