Annan Athletic 2-1 Kelty Hearts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.33
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
42%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.68
No
57%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.25
2-3 Goals
35%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.37
6+ Goals
10%
12.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.25 — our 33% vs market 24.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
39%
-3.5pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.9pp
42%
Away Win
34%
+7.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
56%
-12.1pp
57%
BTTS No
44%
+12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Annan Athletic EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Kelty Hearts EU Bookmakers 38%
+11% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.80/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.69
+19% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / -15%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
167 · 91% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 153 · 91%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
3.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Annan Athletic
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Kelty Hearts
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
3 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
2 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
01.02.2025 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 1-3 HT 1-0 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İK1
16.11.2024 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 0-2 HT 0-2 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
28.09.2024 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 3-0 HT 2-0 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İK1
23.03.2024 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 3-2 HT 3-1 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
13.01.2024 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 1-1 HT 1-0 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İK1
04.11.2023 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 2-2 HT 1-1 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
POST-MATCH Annan Athletic vs Kelty Hearts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Annan Athletic squeezed past Kelty Hearts 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Kelty Hearts at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Annan Athletic and 1.83 for Kelty Hearts.

What was the final score of Annan Athletic vs Kelty Hearts?

Annan Athletic 2-1 Kelty Hearts in the Scotland - 1st Division on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Annan Athletic vs Kelty Hearts?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kelty Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Annan Athletic 35%, draw 23%, Kelty Hearts 42%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kelty Hearts) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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