Alloa Athletic vs Dumbarton Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alloa Athletic v Dumbarton — Team-Based Signals
Alloa Athletic vs Dumbarton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 0-0
Dumbarton
İK1
1-2
HT 1-1
Alloa Athletic
İK1
1-2
HT 0-0
Dumbarton
İK1
Dumbarton squeezed past Alloa Athletic 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Alloa Athletic at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dumbarton led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Alloa Athletic and 2.00 for Dumbarton.
What was the final score of Alloa Athletic vs Dumbarton?
Alloa Athletic 2-3 Dumbarton in the Scotland - 1st Division on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alloa Athletic vs Dumbarton?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alloa Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Alloa Athletic 46%, draw 27%, Dumbarton 27%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Alloa Athletic) went the other way.