Arbroath 1-0 Cove Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.09
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.45
2-3 Goals
33%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.22
6+ Goals
15%
11.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
44%
-7.2pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.5pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.3pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arbroath EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Cove Rangers EU Bookmakers 33%
-6% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +8%
1.18/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.18
-25% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +28%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
270 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
8.0 Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arbroath
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Cove Rangers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
1 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.02.2025 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers 2-1 HT 0-1 Arbroath Arbroath İK1
16.11.2024 Arbroath Arbroath 2-1 HT 2-1 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers İK1
28.09.2024 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers 2-4 HT 2-2 Arbroath Arbroath İK1
22.04.2023 Arbroath Arbroath 0-1 HT 0-0 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers İKCL
18.02.2023 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers 1-1 HT 0-0 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
12.11.2022 Arbroath Arbroath 1-1 HT 1-0 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers İKCL
POST-MATCH Arbroath vs Cove Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arbroath edged past Cove Rangers 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 31% / 32% — and on the day Arbroath made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Arbroath and 1.33 for Cove Rangers.

What was the final score of Arbroath vs Cove Rangers?

Arbroath 1-0 Cove Rangers in the Scotland - 1st Division on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arbroath vs Cove Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arbroath win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Arbroath 37%, draw 31%, Cove Rangers 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arbroath) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arbroath) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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