Cove Rangers 2-1 Arbroath — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.7
No
56%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.12
2-3 Goals
36%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.38
6+ Goals
11%
13.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.12 — our 32% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-1.6pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+0.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
55%
-11.2pp
56%
BTTS No
45%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cove Rangers EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Arbroath EU Bookmakers 39%
-11% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +4%
1.36/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/1.54
-11% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
295 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
9.0 Crosses 1.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cove Rangers
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Arbroath
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
9 Crosses 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.11.2024 Arbroath Arbroath 2-1 HT 2-1 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers İK1
28.09.2024 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers 2-4 HT 2-2 Arbroath Arbroath İK1
22.04.2023 Arbroath Arbroath 0-1 HT 0-0 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers İKCL
18.02.2023 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers 1-1 HT 0-0 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
12.11.2022 Arbroath Arbroath 1-1 HT 1-0 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers İKCL
01.10.2022 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers 2-0 HT 2-0 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
POST-MATCH Cove Rangers vs Arbroath
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cove Rangers squeezed past Arbroath 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Cove Rangers found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cove Rangers and 1.33 for Arbroath.

What was the final score of Cove Rangers vs Arbroath?

Cove Rangers 2-1 Arbroath in the Scotland - 1st Division on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cove Rangers vs Arbroath?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cove Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Cove Rangers 36%, draw 28%, Arbroath 36%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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