Montrose 0-3 Stenhousemuir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 1 Feb 2025

Montrose
0-3 HT 0-1
Stenhousemuir
📅01/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Scotland - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Montrose vs Stenhousemuir Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
45%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
1.88
No
64%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.58
2-3 Goals
36%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
4.06
6+ Goals
7%
20.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.58 — our 38% vs market 31.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
38%
-8.0pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.6pp
45%
Away Win
35%
+10.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.4pp
36%
BTTS Yes
49%
-12.8pp
64%
BTTS No
51%
+12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Montrose v Stenhousemuir — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montrose EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Stenhousemuir EU Bookmakers 38%
+6% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -16%
1.55/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/1.50
+3% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
153 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 193 · 90%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
6.0 Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

Montrose vs Stenhousemuir Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montrose
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Stenhousemuir
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
The Meetings
16.11.2024 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 1-0 HT 0-0 Montrose Montrose İK1
14.09.2024 Montrose Montrose 3-0 HT 2-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
19.07.2022 Montrose Montrose 0-2 HT 0-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İKLK
23.03.2019 Montrose Montrose 2-0 HT 1-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
09.02.2019 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 1-0 HT 0-0 Montrose Montrose İK1
22.12.2018 Montrose Montrose 3-1 HT 2-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
POST-MATCH Montrose vs Stenhousemuir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stenhousemuir ran out comfortable winners over Montrose 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Stenhousemuir as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (64%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Montrose and 0.83 for Stenhousemuir.

What was the final score of Montrose vs Stenhousemuir?

Montrose 0-3 Stenhousemuir in the Scotland - 1st Division on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montrose vs Stenhousemuir?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stenhousemuir win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Montrose 30%, draw 24%, Stenhousemuir 45%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stenhousemuir), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stenhousemuir) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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