Kelty Hearts 1-3 Annan Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.29
2-3 Goals
47%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.25
6+ Goals
8%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.29 — our 26% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-3.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.0pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.0pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kelty Hearts EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Annan Athletic EU Bookmakers 27%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -11%
1.17/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.95
-27% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -24%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
360 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
8.0 Crosses 1.5
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kelty Hearts
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Annan Athletic
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
8 Crosses 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
16.11.2024 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 0-2 HT 0-2 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
28.09.2024 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 3-0 HT 2-0 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İK1
23.03.2024 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 3-2 HT 3-1 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
13.01.2024 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 1-1 HT 1-0 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İK1
04.11.2023 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 2-2 HT 1-1 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
02.09.2023 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 1-1 HT 0-0 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İK1
POST-MATCH Kelty Hearts vs Annan Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Annan Athletic beat Kelty Hearts 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Kelty Hearts at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kelty Hearts had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Kelty Hearts and 1.17 for Annan Athletic.

What was the final score of Kelty Hearts vs Annan Athletic?

Kelty Hearts 1-3 Annan Athletic in the Scotland - 1st Division on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kelty Hearts vs Annan Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kelty Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Kelty Hearts 48%, draw 26%, Annan Athletic 27%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kelty Hearts), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kelty Hearts) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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