Dumbarton 1-1 Alloa Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
38%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.18
Over 2.5
45%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.53
No
50%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.1
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
2.82
6+ Goals
11%
8.23
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.1 — our 29% vs market 18.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.8pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.9pp
38%
Away Win
31%
+6.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
42%
+12.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
58%
-12.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
61%
-11.1pp
50%
BTTS No
39%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dumbarton EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Alloa Athletic EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +11%
1.80/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.29
+20% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
307 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 11.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dumbarton
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Alloa Athletic
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
03.12.2024 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 2-2 HT 1-1 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK1
10.08.2024 Dumbarton Dumbarton 3-3 HT 1-2 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
02.04.2022 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 2-3 HT 0-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK1
19.02.2022 Dumbarton Dumbarton 1-2 HT 1-1 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
20.11.2021 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-2 HT 0-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK1
25.09.2021 Dumbarton Dumbarton 1-1 HT 0-1 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
POST-MATCH Dumbarton vs Alloa Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dumbarton and Alloa Athletic shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dumbarton had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Dumbarton and 1.83 for Alloa Athletic.

What was the final score of Dumbarton vs Alloa Athletic?

Dumbarton 1-1 Alloa Athletic in the Scotland - 1st Division on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dumbarton vs Alloa Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alloa Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Dumbarton 37%, draw 25%, Alloa Athletic 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Alloa Athletic) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alloa Athletic) ✓ Under 2.5
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