Kelty Hearts 1-2 Peterhead — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 4 Oct 2025

Kelty Hearts
1-2 HT 1-1
Peterhead
📅04/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Scotland - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Kelty Hearts vs Peterhead Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.5
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
47%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.42
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.19
6+ Goals
9%
11.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.42 — our 32% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
25%
-0.2pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.5pp
47%
Away Win
50%
-3.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.6pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kelty Hearts v Peterhead — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kelty Hearts EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Peterhead EU Bookmakers 55%
-10% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -12%
0.74/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.62
-38% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -43%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
310 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Kelty Hearts vs Peterhead Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kelty Hearts
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Peterhead
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 8
The Meetings
23.07.2024 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 0-1 HT 0-1 Peterhead Peterhead İKLK
25.02.2023 Peterhead Peterhead 1-1 HT 1-1 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
03.12.2022 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 3-0 HT 0-0 Peterhead Peterhead İK1
17.09.2022 Peterhead Peterhead 2-1 HT 1-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
10.11.2020 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 1-1 HT 0-0 Peterhead Peterhead İKLK
20.10.2018 Peterhead Peterhead 3-2 HT 1-1 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İKK
POST-MATCH Kelty Hearts vs Peterhead
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peterhead squeezed past Kelty Hearts 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Peterhead as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Peterhead led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kelty Hearts and 1.33 for Peterhead.

What was the final score of Kelty Hearts vs Peterhead?

Kelty Hearts 1-2 Peterhead in the Scotland - 1st Division on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kelty Hearts vs Peterhead?

Before kick-off our model rated an Peterhead win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Kelty Hearts 25%, draw 28%, Peterhead 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Peterhead) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Peterhead) ✗ Under 2.5
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