Queen Of The South 3-2 Alloa Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
32%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.95
Over 2.5
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.32
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.23
6+ Goals
10%
11.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-7.9pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.3pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+8.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.1pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queen Of The South EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Alloa Athletic EU Bookmakers 27%
-17% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +23%
1.53/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.51
-6% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
5.0 Crosses 11.0
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queen Of The South
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Alloa Athletic
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
11.01.2025 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-1 HT 0-1 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İK1
09.11.2024 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 1-1 HT 0-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
03.08.2024 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İK1
23.03.2024 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 0-2 HT 0-1 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İK1
13.01.2024 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 1-1 HT 1-1 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
11.11.2023 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İK1
POST-MATCH Queen Of The South vs Alloa Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queen Of The South squeezed past Alloa Athletic 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Queen Of The South as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Queen Of The South and 0.67 for Alloa Athletic.

What was the final score of Queen Of The South vs Alloa Athletic?

Queen Of The South 3-2 Alloa Athletic in the Scotland - 1st Division on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queen Of The South vs Alloa Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Queen Of The South win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Queen Of The South 44%, draw 25%, Alloa Athletic 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Queen Of The South), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Queen Of The South) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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