Arbroath vs Dumbarton Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Arbroath v Dumbarton — Team-Based Signals
Arbroath vs Dumbarton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Dumbarton
İK1
2-0
HT 1-0
Arbroath
İK1
3-1
HT 0-1
Dumbarton
İK1
Arbroath and Dumbarton shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Arbroath at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Arbroath and 1.67 for Dumbarton.
What was the final score of Arbroath vs Dumbarton?
Arbroath 1-1 Dumbarton in the Scotland - 1st Division on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Arbroath vs Dumbarton?
Before kick-off our model rated a Arbroath win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Arbroath 56%, draw 22%, Dumbarton 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Arbroath), Over 2.5 went the other way.