Leyton Orient 2-2 Burton Albion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 2 May 2026

📅02/05/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.18
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
3.31
6+ Goals
9%
12.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 32% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
12%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-6.9pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.8pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leyton Orient EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Burton Albion EU Bookmakers 28%
-13% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +8%
1.12/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.28
-24% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +16%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
329 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 67%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
19.8 Crosses 16.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leyton Orient
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Burton Albion
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
1.24 xG 0.97
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
363 Passes 210
77% Pass Accuracy 66%
23 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.11.2025 Burton Albion Burton Albion 0-4 HT 0-2 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN1
01.04.2025 Burton Albion Burton Albion 2-1 HT 0-1 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN1
14.12.2024 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 0-0 HT 0-0 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
17.02.2024 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 1-2 HT 1-0 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
28.10.2023 Burton Albion Burton Albion 0-0 HT 0-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leyton Orient
2-2
AWAY Burton Albion
1.35 xG 2.97
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 1
220 Passes 168
70% Pass Accuracy 62%
27 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Leyton Orient vs Burton Albion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leyton Orient and Burton Albion couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Leyton Orient at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Leyton Orient had 54% of the ball to Burton Albion's 46%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 1.35 to 2.97.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Burton Albion led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Leyton Orient and 0.80 for Burton Albion.

What was the final score of Leyton Orient vs Burton Albion?

Leyton Orient 2-2 Burton Albion in the England - 1st Division on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leyton Orient vs Burton Albion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leyton Orient win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Leyton Orient 45%, draw 26%, Burton Albion 29%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Leyton Orient), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leyton Orient) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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