Stevenage 1-0 Wigan Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 2 May 2026

📅02/05/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
17%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.66
2-3 Goals
37%
1.7
4-5 Goals
19%
3.9
6+ Goals
10%
18.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.66 — our 34% vs market 29.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
60%
-1.2pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.5pp
17%
Away Win
17%
+0.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.5pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stevenage EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Wigan Athletic EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -7%
1.53/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.44
-17% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +21%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
334 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 195 · 62%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
23.4 Crosses 16.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stevenage
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Wigan Athletic
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
1.01 xG 0.84
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
233 Passes 300
70% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
29.11.2025 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Stevenage Stevenage İN1
18.01.2025 Stevenage Stevenage 1-2 HT 0-0 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
24.09.2024 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Stevenage Stevenage İN1
27.01.2024 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 2-3 HT 2-1 Stevenage Stevenage İN1
07.10.2023 Stevenage Stevenage 1-0 HT 1-0 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stevenage
1-0
AWAY Wigan Athletic
1.29 xG 0.61
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
236 Passes 229
67% Pass Accuracy 68%
25 Box Touches 19
26 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stevenage vs Wigan Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stevenage squeezed past Wigan Athletic 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Stevenage as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Stevenage had 52% of the ball to Wigan Athletic's 48%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.29 to 0.61.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Stevenage had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Stevenage and 0.80 for Wigan Athletic.

What was the final score of Stevenage vs Wigan Athletic?

Stevenage 1-0 Wigan Athletic in the England - 1st Division on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stevenage vs Wigan Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stevenage win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Stevenage 58%, draw 24%, Wigan Athletic 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stevenage), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stevenage) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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