Barnsley 1-3 Stockport County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 2 May 2026

📅02/05/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.32
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
55%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.63
Over 2.5
59%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.41
No
43%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.85
2-3 Goals
39%
2.03
4-5 Goals
27%
2.42
6+ Goals
13%
5.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.44
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
18.9
1/X
5%
13.4
X/1
9%
8.64
X/2
14%
4.9
X/X
9%
6.52
2/1
6%
30.5
2/2
31%
2.29
2/X
5%
12.6
Value flag · 1/2 at 18.9 — our 9% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
26%
+0.1pp
19%
Draw
22%
-3.7pp
55%
Away Win
51%
+3.7pp
41%
Under 2.5
34%
+6.7pp
59%
Over 2.5
66%
-6.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
67%
-9.4pp
43%
BTTS No
33%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barnsley EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Stockport County EU Bookmakers 56%
-2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +11%
1.06/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/0.82
+41% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +32%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
291 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 78%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
15.9 Crosses 17.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barnsley
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Stockport County
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.21 xG 1.31
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
285 Passes 316
71% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 0
29.11.2025 Stockport County Stockport County 1-1 HT 0-1 Barnsley Barnsley İN1
08.02.2025 Stockport County Stockport County 2-1 HT 2-0 Barnsley Barnsley İN1
28.09.2024 Barnsley Barnsley 1-1 HT 1-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN1
22.01.2005 Stockport County Stockport County 2-2 HT 1-1 Barnsley Barnsley İN1
28.12.2004 Barnsley Barnsley 3-3 HT 2-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN1
08.05.2004 Stockport County Stockport County 2-3 HT 0-2 Barnsley Barnsley İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barnsley
1-3
AWAY Stockport County
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 11
309 Passes 261
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
POST-MATCH Barnsley vs Stockport County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stockport County beat Barnsley 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Stockport County as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Barnsley had 53% of the ball to Stockport County's 47%, shots finished 9-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Barnsley and 1.83 for Stockport County.

What was the final score of Barnsley vs Stockport County?

Barnsley 1-3 Stockport County in the England - 1st Division on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barnsley vs Stockport County?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stockport County win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Barnsley 26%, draw 19%, Stockport County 55%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stockport County), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stockport County) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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