Basel vs Thun Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Basel v Thun — Team-Based Signals
Basel vs Thun Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Basel
İSV
0-1
HT 0-0
Thun
İSV
3-1
HT 0-0
Thun
İSV
Basel 3-1 Thun — Actual Match Statistics
Basel beat Thun 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 35% — and on the day Basel made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (61%) came in.
On the day, Basel had 60% of the ball to Thun's 40%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 2.02 to 0.43.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Thun led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Basel and 1.33 for Thun.
What was the final score of Basel vs Thun?
Basel 3-1 Thun in the Switzerland - Super League on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Basel vs Thun?
Before kick-off our model rated a Basel win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Basel 40%, draw 25%, Thun 35%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Basel), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.