Winterthur 2-2 Zürich — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 2 May 2026

Winterthur
2-2 HT 1-1
Zürich
📅02/05/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Switzerland - Super League – 2025/2026

Winterthur vs Zürich Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.29
Over 2.5
58%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.46
No
39%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.49
2-3 Goals
37%
1.86
4-5 Goals
29%
2.68
6+ Goals
11%
7.16
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-1.0pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.7pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+2.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
40%
+2.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
60%
-2.5pp
61%
BTTS Yes
64%
-3.5pp
39%
BTTS No
36%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Winterthur v Zürich — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Winterthur EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Zürich EU Bookmakers 38%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +2%
1.20/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.48
-24% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
297 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
17.4 Crosses 19.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.6

Winterthur vs Zürich Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Winterthur
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Zürich
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.22 xG 1.99
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
196 Passes 347
67% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 36
12 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.02.2026 Zürich Zürich 3-0 HT 2-0 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
13.12.2025 Zürich Zürich 2-2 HT 0-1 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
30.08.2025 Winterthur Winterthur 1-3 HT 0-0 Zürich Zürich İSV
13.05.2025 Zürich Zürich 4-1 HT 0-1 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
05.04.2025 Winterthur Winterthur 0-0 HT 0-0 Zürich Zürich İSV
06.02.2025 Winterthur Winterthur 0-2 HT 0-0 Zürich Zürich İSV

Winterthur 2-2 Zürich — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Winterthur
2-2
AWAY Zürich
1.81 xG 2.13
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
223 Passes 255
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
30 Box Touches 26
27 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Winterthur vs Zürich
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Winterthur and Zürich couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 23% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Winterthur had 50% of the ball to Zürich's 50%, shots finished 17-16, expected goals 1.81 to 2.13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zürich led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Winterthur and 2.33 for Zürich.

What was the final score of Winterthur vs Zürich?

Winterthur 2-2 Zürich in the Switzerland - Super League on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Winterthur vs Zürich?

Before kick-off our model rated a Winterthur win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Winterthur 40%, draw 23%, Zürich 37%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Winterthur) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Winterthur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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