Zürich 3-0 Winterthur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 11 Feb 2026

📅11/02/2026 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
23%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.53
No
41%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.55
2-3 Goals
41%
1.91
4-5 Goals
24%
2.82
6+ Goals
14%
7.82
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.58
1/2
5%
32.0
1/X
8%
12.7
X/1
20%
4.98
X/2
11%
7.98
X/X
13%
5.68
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
21.5
2/2
8%
5.36
2/X
4%
13.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.5 — our 10% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
49%
+2.1pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-3.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
-1.7pp
41%
BTTS No
39%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zürich EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Winterthur EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.44/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.77
-28% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
312 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 76%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
19.4 Crosses 13.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zürich
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Winterthur
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.46 xG 0.96
59% Ball Possession 41%
21 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
351 Passes 213
78% Pass Accuracy 69%
41 Box Touches 16
25 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
13.12.2025 Zürich Zürich 2-2 HT 0-1 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
30.08.2025 Winterthur Winterthur 1-3 HT 0-0 Zürich Zürich İSV
13.05.2025 Zürich Zürich 4-1 HT 0-1 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
05.04.2025 Winterthur Winterthur 0-0 HT 0-0 Zürich Zürich İSV
06.02.2025 Winterthur Winterthur 0-2 HT 0-0 Zürich Zürich İSV
28.07.2024 Zürich Zürich 4-2 HT 2-1 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zürich
3-0
AWAY Winterthur
1.84 xG 2.06
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
321 Passes 225
81% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Zürich vs Winterthur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zürich ran out comfortable winners over Winterthur 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zürich as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

On the day, Zürich had 55% of the ball to Winterthur's 45%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 1.84 to 2.06.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zürich had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Zürich and 1.00 for Winterthur.

What was the final score of Zürich vs Winterthur?

Zürich 3-0 Winterthur in the Switzerland - Super League on 11/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zürich vs Winterthur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zürich win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Zürich 51%, draw 26%, Winterthur 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zürich), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zürich) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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