Lugano 1-1 Servette — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 11 Feb 2026

Lugano
1-1 HT 1-0
Servette
📅11/02/2026 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Switzerland - Super League – 2025/2026

Lugano vs Servette Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.24
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.52
6+ Goals
11%
13.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.24
1/2
8%
32.5
1/X
8%
12.4
X/1
10%
5.32
X/2
12%
6.74
X/X
9%
4.5
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
26.5
2/2
15%
4.69
2/X
7%
12.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.5 — our 8% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.3pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.8pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.7pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lugano v Servette — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lugano EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Servette EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +12%
1.40/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.45
-4% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
15.9 Crosses 23.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1

Lugano vs Servette Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lugano
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Servette
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.98 xG 1.24
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
405 Passes 311
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.12.2025 Lugano Lugano 4-2 HT 3-1 Servette Servette İSV
26.10.2025 Servette Servette 2-1 HT 1-1 Lugano Lugano İSV
15.05.2025 Servette Servette 4-1 HT 2-1 Lugano Lugano İSV
29.03.2025 Lugano Lugano 0-2 HT 0-1 Servette Servette İSV
01.12.2024 Servette Servette 3-0 HT 0-0 Lugano Lugano İSV
03.08.2024 Lugano Lugano 3-1 HT 0-0 Servette Servette İSV

Lugano 1-1 Servette — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lugano
1-1
AWAY Servette
0.35 xG 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
3 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 5
379 Passes 402
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
9 Box Touches 27
7 Crosses 39
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lugano vs Servette
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lugano and Servette couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Lugano at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Lugano had 47% of the ball to Servette's 53%, shots finished 3-11, expected goals 0.35 to 1.50.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Servette led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lugano and 2.33 for Servette.

What was the final score of Lugano vs Servette?

Lugano 1-1 Servette in the Switzerland - Super League on 11/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lugano vs Servette?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lugano win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Lugano 41%, draw 24%, Servette 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lugano), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lugano) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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İSV More Switzerland - Super League
11 Feb 2026
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