Servette 2-1 Lugano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
39%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.18
Over 2.5
48%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.53
No
51%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
4.45
2-3 Goals
36%
1.93
4-5 Goals
23%
2.99
6+ Goals
10%
8.81
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.45 — our 31% vs market 18.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.39
1/2
6%
25.5
1/X
5%
12.5
X/1
13%
5.74
X/2
10%
6.2
X/X
14%
5.37
2/1
9%
24.0
2/2
23%
3.83
2/X
6%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
39%
Away Win
34%
+4.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
42%
+10.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
58%
-10.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
61%
-12.6pp
51%
BTTS No
39%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Servette EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Lugano EU Bookmakers 38%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -11%
1.60/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.28
-7% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +0%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
306 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 80%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
23.4 Crosses 17.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Servette
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Lugano
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.12 xG 1.07
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
287 Passes 410
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
30 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.05.2025 Servette Servette 4-1 HT 2-1 Lugano Lugano İSV
29.03.2025 Lugano Lugano 0-2 HT 0-1 Servette Servette İSV
01.12.2024 Servette Servette 3-0 HT 0-0 Lugano Lugano İSV
03.08.2024 Lugano Lugano 3-1 HT 0-0 Servette Servette İSV
02.06.2024 Servette Servette 0-0 HT 0-0 Lugano Lugano İSVK
25.05.2024 Lugano Lugano 0-2 HT 0-1 Servette Servette İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Servette
2-1
AWAY Lugano
0.90 xG 0.72
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
344 Passes 499
84% Pass Accuracy 88%
27 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Servette vs Lugano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Servette edged past Lugano 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 25% / 39%) promised a tight game; Servette found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Servette had 43% of the ball to Lugano's 57%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 0.90 to 0.72.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Servette had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Servette and 0.67 for Lugano.

What was the final score of Servette vs Lugano?

Servette 2-1 Lugano in the Switzerland - Super League on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Servette vs Lugano?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lugano win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Servette 36%, draw 25%, Lugano 39%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lugano) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSV More Switzerland - Super League
26 Oct 2025
16:00 Zürich vs Young Boys Analysis →
18:30 Lausanne Sports vs Basel Analysis →