Lausanne Sports 5-1 Basel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
18%
3.64
Away
47%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.51
Over 2.5
66%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.43
No
36%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
5.6
2-3 Goals
34%
2.06
4-5 Goals
32%
2.69
6+ Goals
17%
6.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.43
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
20.85
1/X
7%
12.75
X/1
10%
7.25
X/2
14%
5.37
X/X
6%
6.03
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
24%
2.79
2/X
6%
12.3
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.85 — our 8% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
31%
+3.6pp
19%
Draw
24%
-5.3pp
47%
Away Win
45%
+1.7pp
34%
Under 2.5
36%
-1.7pp
66%
Over 2.5
64%
+1.7pp
64%
BTTS Yes
66%
-2.0pp
36%
BTTS No
34%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lausanne Sports EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Basel EU Bookmakers 49%
-4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +17%
1.81/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.43
+19% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +36%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
254 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 78%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.6
18.6 Crosses 16.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lausanne Sports
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Basel
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.39 xG 1.63
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
306 Passes 348
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 27
20 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.05.2025 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 2-3 HT 1-2 Basel Basel İSV
27.04.2025 Basel Basel 3-2 HT 0-1 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSVK
16.02.2025 Basel Basel 1-1 HT 1-0 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
30.11.2024 Basel Basel 1-1 HT 1-0 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
21.07.2024 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 3-2 HT 3-1 Basel Basel İSV
10.05.2024 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 0-0 HT 0-0 Basel Basel İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lausanne Sports
5-1
AWAY Basel
3.49 xG 1.52
38% Ball Possession 62%
22 Total Shots 12
12 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
265 Passes 488
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 19
11 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lausanne Sports vs Basel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lausanne Sports cruised past Basel 5-1. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Basel at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (64%) came in.

On the day, Lausanne Sports had 38% of the ball to Basel's 62%, shots finished 22-12, expected goals 3.49 to 1.52.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Basel led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lausanne Sports and 1.67 for Basel.

What was the final score of Lausanne Sports vs Basel?

Lausanne Sports 5-1 Basel in the Switzerland - Super League on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lausanne Sports vs Basel?

Before kick-off our model rated an Basel win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Lausanne Sports 35%, draw 19%, Basel 47%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Basel) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Basel) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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