Basel 3-2 Lausanne Sports — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Cup, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.22
2-3 Goals
38%
1.91
4-5 Goals
27%
3.13
6+ Goals
15%
9.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.47
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
12.85
X/1
12%
4.76
X/2
9%
8.47
X/X
12%
5.36
2/1 EV+ ✓
8%
22.45
2/2
15%
6.05
2/X
6%
13.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.45 — our 8% vs market 2.4%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-4.5pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.6pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+6.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.2pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Basel EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Lausanne Sports EU Bookmakers 28%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.76/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/0.52
-11% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -76% / +150%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Basel
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Lausanne Sports
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.37 xG 1.59
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
358 Passes 295
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
16.02.2025 Basel Basel 1-1 HT 1-0 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
30.11.2024 Basel Basel 1-1 HT 1-0 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
21.07.2024 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 3-2 HT 3-1 Basel Basel İSV
10.05.2024 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 0-0 HT 0-0 Basel Basel İSV
02.03.2024 Basel Basel 1-2 HT 0-1 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
29.10.2023 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 3-0 HT 1-0 Basel Basel İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Basel
3-2
AWAY Lausanne Sports
1.49 xG 1.31
64% Ball Possession 36%
22 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
351 Passes 150
81% Pass Accuracy 62%
38 Box Touches 21
27 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Basel vs Lausanne Sports
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Basel edged past Lausanne Sports 3-2 in the Switzerland - Cup on 27 Apr 2025. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 56% and both teams to score was close to even at 55%.

On the day, Basel had 64% of the ball to Lausanne Sports's 36%, shots finished 22-13, expected goals 1.49 to 1.31.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lausanne Sports lead the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Basel and 1.67 for Lausanne Sports.

What was the final score of Basel vs Lausanne Sports?

Basel 3-2 Lausanne Sports in the Switzerland - Cup on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Basel vs Lausanne Sports?

Before kick-off our model rated a Basel win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Basel 46%, draw 24%, Lausanne Sports 31%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Basel), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Basel) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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