Lehnerz 0-2 SGV Freiberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 2 May 2026

📅02/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
28%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.1
Over 2.5
59%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
69%
1.56
No
31%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.4pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.9pp
28%
Away Win
33%
-5.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.9pp
59%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.9pp
69%
BTTS Yes
60%
+9.3pp
31%
BTTS No
40%
-9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lehnerz EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY SGV Freiberg EU Bookmakers 37%
+9% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
1.34/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/1.57
-16% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
387 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lehnerz
2W-2D-2L
AWAY SGV Freiberg
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
01.11.2025 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg 1-1 HT 1-1 Lehnerz Lehnerz ALMBÖL
22.03.2025 Lehnerz Lehnerz 1-2 HT 0-2 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg ALMBÖL
14.09.2024 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg 1-1 HT 0-1 Lehnerz Lehnerz ALMBÖL
24.02.2024 Lehnerz Lehnerz 1-0 HT 1-0 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg ALMBÖL
19.08.2023 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg 0-4 HT 0-2 Lehnerz Lehnerz ALMBÖL
19.11.2022 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg 3-1 HT 2-0 Lehnerz Lehnerz ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Lehnerz vs SGV Freiberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SGV Freiberg beat Lehnerz 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Lehnerz at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (69%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lehnerz and 1.17 for SGV Freiberg.

What was the final score of Lehnerz vs SGV Freiberg?

Lehnerz 0-2 SGV Freiberg in the Germany - Regional League on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lehnerz vs SGV Freiberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lehnerz win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Lehnerz 43%, draw 29%, SGV Freiberg 28%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lehnerz) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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