Kapfenberger SV 1-4 FC Liefering — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 2 May 2026

📅02/05/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.99
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
47%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.59
Over 2.5
51%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.43
No
48%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.24
2-3 Goals
39%
1.95
4-5 Goals
25%
2.51
6+ Goals
11%
5.82
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
30%
-1.2pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.9pp
47%
Away Win
48%
-0.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
35%
+14.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
65%
-14.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
66%
-13.6pp
48%
BTTS No
34%
+13.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kapfenberger SV EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Liefering EU Bookmakers 52%
+4% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +16%
1.42/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/1.30
+18% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -8%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
246 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 76%
13.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.6
17.2 Crosses 21.4
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kapfenberger SV
2W-0D-4L
AWAY FC Liefering
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
2.28 xG 1.17
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
132 Passes 348
56% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 21
10 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.11.2025 FC Liefering FC Liefering 5-2 HT 5-0 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
11.04.2025 FC Liefering FC Liefering 2-0 HT 0-0 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
27.09.2024 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 0-2 HT 0-1 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
20.05.2024 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 1-3 HT 1-0 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
12.11.2023 FC Liefering FC Liefering 0-1 HT 0-0 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
01.04.2023 FC Liefering FC Liefering 1-3 HT 1-2 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kapfenberger SV
1-4
AWAY FC Liefering
37% Ball Possession 63%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kapfenberger SV vs FC Liefering
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Liefering swept aside Kapfenberger SV 4-1 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FC Liefering as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Kapfenberger SV had 37% of the ball to FC Liefering's 63%, shots finished 13-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Liefering led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kapfenberger SV and 2.17 for FC Liefering.

What was the final score of Kapfenberger SV vs FC Liefering?

Kapfenberger SV 1-4 FC Liefering in the Austria - 1st Division on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kapfenberger SV vs FC Liefering?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Liefering win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Kapfenberger SV 28%, draw 25%, FC Liefering 47%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Liefering), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Liefering) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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