Pau 1-3 Nancy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 2 May 2026

Pau
1-3 HT 1-0
Nancy
📅02/05/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2025/2026

Pau vs Nancy Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.82
Over 2.5
42%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.04
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
3.44
6+ Goals
9%
13.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 33% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-2.0pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.0pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pau v Nancy — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pau EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Nancy EU Bookmakers 39%
+2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +10%
1.26/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.48
-6% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
316 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 76%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
20.8 Crosses 17.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Pau vs Nancy Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pau
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Nancy
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
1.32 xG 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
283 Passes 304
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.08.2025 Nancy Nancy 2-2 HT 2-1 Pau Pau FR2
14.05.2022 Nancy Nancy 2-3 HT 2-3 Pau Pau FR2
24.07.2021 Pau Pau 2-1 HT 1-0 Nancy Nancy FR2
05.02.2021 Nancy Nancy 1-0 HT 1-0 Pau Pau FR2
03.10.2020 Pau Pau 1-1 HT 1-0 Nancy Nancy FR2

Pau 1-3 Nancy — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pau
1-3
AWAY Nancy
1.33 xG 1.20
72% Ball Possession 28%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
563 Passes 154
88% Pass Accuracy 68%
29 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pau vs Nancy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nancy beat Pau 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Nancy found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pau had 72% of the ball to Nancy's 28%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.33 to 1.20.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Pau had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Pau and 1.40 for Nancy.

What was the final score of Pau vs Nancy?

Pau 1-3 Nancy in the France - Ligue 2 on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pau vs Nancy?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nancy win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Pau 35%, draw 28%, Nancy 37%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nancy) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nancy) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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