Montpellier vs Clermont Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Montpellier v Clermont — Team-Based Signals
Montpellier vs Clermont Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Clermont
FR1
4-2
HT 2-2
Clermont
FR1
2-1
HT 0-1
Clermont
FR1
1-1
HT 0-1
Montpellier
FR1
Montpellier 1-2 Clermont — Actual Match Statistics
Clermont edged past Montpellier 2-1 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Montpellier at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Montpellier had 64% of the ball to Clermont's 36%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.67 to 1.82.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Montpellier had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Montpellier and 1.17 for Clermont.
What was the final score of Montpellier vs Clermont?
Montpellier 1-2 Clermont in the France - Ligue 2 on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Montpellier vs Clermont?
Before kick-off our model rated a Montpellier win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Montpellier 51%, draw 28%, Clermont 21%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.