Troyes 4-0 Stade Lavallois — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 2 May 2026

📅02/05/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.61
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.16
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
2.86
6+ Goals
10%
8.46
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.02
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
7%
14.6
X/1
21%
4.2
X/2
6%
10.1
X/X
10%
6.05
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
20.3
2/2
14%
7.6
2/X
4%
16.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.3 — our 8% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
58%
-3.9pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.4pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.0pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Troyes EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Lavallois EU Bookmakers 23%
+3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +12%
2.01/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.45
+21% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +28%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
439 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 78%
30.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
18.6 Crosses 16.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Troyes
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Stade Lavallois
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.20 xG 1.39
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
371 Passes 337
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.11.2025 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 0-1 HT 0-0 Troyes Troyes FR2
24.01.2025 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 1-0 HT 0-0 Troyes Troyes FR2
01.11.2024 Troyes Troyes 0-0 HT 0-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
10.05.2024 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 1-2 HT 1-0 Troyes Troyes FR2
12.08.2023 Troyes Troyes 3-1 HT 2-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
20.01.2017 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 1-0 HT 0-0 Troyes Troyes FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Troyes
4-0
AWAY Stade Lavallois
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Troyes vs Stade Lavallois
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Troyes ran out comfortable winners over Stade Lavallois 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Troyes as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Troyes had 56% of the ball to Stade Lavallois's 44%, shots finished 16-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Troyes had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Troyes and 0.67 for Stade Lavallois.

What was the final score of Troyes vs Stade Lavallois?

Troyes 4-0 Stade Lavallois in the France - Ligue 2 on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Troyes vs Stade Lavallois?

Before kick-off our model rated a Troyes win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Troyes 54%, draw 22%, Stade Lavallois 24%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Troyes), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Troyes) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR2 More France - Ligue 2
2 May 2026
21:00 Boulogne vs Annecy Analysis →
21:00 Guingamp vs Bastia Analysis →
21:00 Montpellier vs Clermont Analysis →
21:00 Dunkerque vs Grenoble Analysis →
21:00 Amiens SC vs Red Star FC 93 Analysis →
21:00 Pau vs Nancy Analysis →