Stade Lavallois vs Troyes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Stade Lavallois v Troyes — Team-Based Signals
Stade Lavallois vs Troyes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-0
Stade Lavallois
FR2
1-0
HT 0-0
Troyes
FR2
1-0
HT 1-0
Stade Lavallois
FR2
Stade Lavallois 0-1 Troyes — Actual Match Statistics
Troyes edged past Stade Lavallois 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 28% / 40% — and on the day Troyes made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, Stade Lavallois had 46% of the ball to Troyes's 54%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 0.50 to 2.10 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Troyes's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Troyes led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Stade Lavallois and 1.00 for Troyes.
What was the final score of Stade Lavallois vs Troyes?
Stade Lavallois 0-1 Troyes in the France - Ligue 2 on 21/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Stade Lavallois vs Troyes?
Before kick-off our model rated an Troyes win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Stade Lavallois 32%, draw 28%, Troyes 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Troyes), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.