Annecy 1-0 Bastia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 21 Nov 2025

Annecy
1-0 HT 1-0
Bastia
📅21/11/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2025/2026

Annecy vs Bastia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.38
Over 2.5
42%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.29
No
54%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
1.93
2-3 Goals
34%
1.85
4-5 Goals
21%
6.73
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.9
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
15.25
X/1
10%
5.0
X/2
11%
5.88
X/X
18%
3.29
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
16%
4.99
2/X
5%
15.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
+0.8pp
30%
Draw
32%
-2.8pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
69%
-10.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
31%
+10.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.7pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Annecy v Bastia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Annecy EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Bastia EU Bookmakers 33%
-4% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -23%
1.09/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.15
-9% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
340 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
17.5 Crosses 16.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1

Annecy vs Bastia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Annecy
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Bastia
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.81 xG 1.27
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
235 Passes 306
68% Pass Accuracy 71%
14 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.04.2025 Annecy Annecy 1-1 HT 1-0 Bastia Bastia FR2
27.09.2024 Bastia Bastia 2-2 HT 1-1 Annecy Annecy FR2
27.04.2024 Annecy Annecy 3-2 HT 3-0 Bastia Bastia FR2
07.10.2023 Bastia Bastia 2-1 HT 0-0 Annecy Annecy FR2
15.04.2023 Bastia Bastia 3-0 HT 3-0 Annecy Annecy FR2
01.10.2022 Annecy Annecy 0-2 HT 0-1 Bastia Bastia FR2

Annecy 1-0 Bastia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Annecy
1-0
AWAY Bastia
1.56 xG 0.64
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
322 Passes 257
77% Pass Accuracy 70%
33 Box Touches 11
18 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Annecy vs Bastia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Annecy edged past Bastia 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; Annecy found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Annecy had 54% of the ball to Bastia's 46%, shots finished 19-3, expected goals 1.56 to 0.64.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bastia led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Annecy and 2.00 for Bastia.

What was the final score of Annecy vs Bastia?

Annecy 1-0 Bastia in the France - Ligue 2 on 21/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Annecy vs Bastia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Annecy win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Annecy 38%, draw 30%, Bastia 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Annecy), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Annecy) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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