Stade Lavallois 1-0 Troyes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 24 Jan 2025

📅24/01/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.41
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.61
6+ Goals
9%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.24
1/2
11%
33.5
1/X
8%
13.55
X/1
13%
5.73
X/2
9%
5.38
X/X
15%
3.8
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
14%
3.86
2/X
7%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+2.9pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.6pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.8pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Lavallois EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Troyes EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
1.14/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/0.96
+3% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +41%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
300 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 81%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
21.1 Crosses 15.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Lavallois
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Troyes
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.85 xG 1.05
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
326 Passes 380
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
30 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.11.2024 Troyes Troyes 0-0 HT 0-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
10.05.2024 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 1-2 HT 1-0 Troyes Troyes FR2
12.08.2023 Troyes Troyes 3-1 HT 2-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
20.01.2017 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 1-0 HT 0-0 Troyes Troyes FR2
12.08.2016 Troyes Troyes 1-0 HT 1-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
09.08.2016 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 1-0 HT 0-0 Troyes Troyes FRLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade Lavallois
1-0
AWAY Troyes
0.87 xG 0.74
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 8
391 Passes 318
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stade Lavallois vs Troyes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Lavallois squeezed past Troyes 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 33%) promised a tight game; Stade Lavallois found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Stade Lavallois had 54% of the ball to Troyes's 46%, shots finished 14-17, expected goals 0.87 to 0.74.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Troyes led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Stade Lavallois and 1.00 for Troyes.

What was the final score of Stade Lavallois vs Troyes?

Stade Lavallois 1-0 Troyes in the France - Ligue 2 on 24/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Lavallois vs Troyes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stade Lavallois win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Stade Lavallois 37%, draw 30%, Troyes 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stade Lavallois), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stade Lavallois) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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