Martigues 3-0 Amiens SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 24 Jan 2025

Martigues
3-0 HT 3-0
Amiens SC
📅24/01/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2024/2025

Martigues vs Amiens SC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.29
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
2.97
2-3 Goals
46%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
3.68
6+ Goals
10%
15.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.97 — our 27% vs market 27.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.47
1/2
10%
25.5
1/X
8%
14.0
X/1
8%
7.19
X/2
16%
4.68
X/X
14%
4.49
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
19%
2.82
2/X
9%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
27%
-3.1pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.1pp
44%
Away Win
46%
-1.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.3pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Martigues v Amiens SC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Martigues EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Amiens SC EU Bookmakers 49%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
0.73/2.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.64
-81% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +15%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
286 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 80%
13.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
17.8 Crosses 17.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8

Martigues vs Amiens SC Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Martigues
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Amiens SC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.60 xG 2.10
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 23
4 Shots on Target 9
0 Corners 10
201 Passes 468
69% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 41
7 Crosses 34
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
08.11.2024 Amiens SC Amiens SC 1-1 HT 0-1 Martigues Martigues FR2
23.02.2002 Martigues Martigues 1-1 HT 1-0 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
13.10.2001 Amiens SC Amiens SC 4-0 HT 1-0 Martigues Martigues FR2

Martigues 3-0 Amiens SC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Martigues
3-0
AWAY Amiens SC
1.40 xG 0.97
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
291 Passes 224
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
29 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Martigues vs Amiens SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Martigues ran out comfortable winners over Amiens SC 3-0.

Our pre-match lean was Amiens SC at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Martigues had 55% of the ball to Amiens SC's 45%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.40 to 0.97.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Amiens SC led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Martigues and 2.00 for Amiens SC.

What was the final score of Martigues vs Amiens SC?

Martigues 3-0 Amiens SC in the France - Ligue 2 on 24/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Martigues vs Amiens SC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Amiens SC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Martigues 24%, draw 31%, Amiens SC 44%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Amiens SC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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