Metz 3-0 Grenoble — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 24 Jan 2025

📅24/01/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
61%
-7.9pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.9pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+5.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.9pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Metz EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Grenoble EU Bookmakers 19%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
1.80/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.55
+4% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
392 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
18.8 Crosses 14.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Metz
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Grenoble
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.37 xG 0.60
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
411 Passes 301
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
18.10.2024 Grenoble Grenoble 2-0 Metz Metz FR2
13.05.2023 Metz Metz 1-0 HT 0-0 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
30.12.2022 Grenoble Grenoble 0-1 HT 0-0 Metz Metz FR2
23.04.2019 Metz Metz 1-1 HT 1-1 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
01.12.2018 Grenoble Grenoble 1-1 HT 1-1 Metz Metz FR2
14.08.2018 Metz Metz 2-1 HT 0-1 Grenoble Grenoble FRLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Metz
3-0
AWAY Grenoble
3.09 xG 0.49
63% Ball Possession 37%
22 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 2
561 Passes 284
90% Pass Accuracy 79%
32 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Metz vs Grenoble
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metz cruised past Grenoble 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Metz as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Metz had 63% of the ball to Grenoble's 37%, shots finished 22-10, expected goals 3.09 to 0.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Metz had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Metz and 0.83 for Grenoble.

What was the final score of Metz vs Grenoble?

Metz 3-0 Grenoble in the France - Ligue 2 on 24/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Metz vs Grenoble?

Before kick-off our model rated a Metz win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Metz 53%, draw 26%, Grenoble 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Metz), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Metz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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