Rodez 1-2 Ajaccio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 24 Jan 2025

📅24/01/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.78
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.93
6+ Goals
10%
18.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.39
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.2
X/1
21%
4.22
X/2
7%
8.72
X/X
15%
4.48
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
11%
7.26
2/X
7%
15.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-2.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+2.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.4pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rodez EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajaccio EU Bookmakers 25%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -19%
1.51/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.34
-29% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
380 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 74%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.5
26.7 Crosses 14.8
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rodez
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Ajaccio
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.94 xG 0.82
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
304 Passes 368
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 10
25 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.08.2024 Ajaccio Ajaccio 1-0 HT 0-0 Rodez Rodez FR2
17.05.2024 Rodez Rodez 2-0 HT 2-0 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR2
05.08.2023 Ajaccio Ajaccio 1-1 HT 1-1 Rodez Rodez FR2
26.02.2022 Ajaccio Ajaccio 2-1 HT 2-1 Rodez Rodez FR2
18.09.2021 Rodez Rodez 0-2 HT 0-1 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR2
02.03.2021 Ajaccio Ajaccio 1-0 HT 0-0 Rodez Rodez FR2
POST-MATCH Rodez vs Ajaccio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajaccio squeezed past Rodez 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Rodez at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ajaccio led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Rodez and 1.17 for Ajaccio.

What was the final score of Rodez vs Ajaccio?

Rodez 1-2 Ajaccio in the France - Ligue 2 on 24/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rodez vs Ajaccio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rodez win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Rodez 50%, draw 27%, Ajaccio 23%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rodez) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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