Caen 0-1 Guingamp — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 24 Jan 2025

Caen
0-1 HT 0-1
Guingamp
📅24/01/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
France - Ligue 2 – 2024/2025

Caen vs Guingamp Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
44%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.98
2-3 Goals
36%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.66
6+ Goals
13%
15.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.46
1/2
7%
27.5
1/X
6%
13.05
X/1
6%
6.3
X/2
18%
5.23
X/X
12%
4.36
2/1
6%
32.0
2/2
20%
3.34
2/X
8%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-2.0pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.8pp
44%
Away Win
40%
+4.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.3pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Caen v Guingamp — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caen EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Guingamp EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +16%
1.15/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.13
+8% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 78%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
20.9 Crosses 18.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8

Caen vs Guingamp Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caen
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Guingamp
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.65 xG 0.98
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
376 Passes 333
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.12.2024 Guingamp Guingamp 2-1 HT 0-0 Caen Caen FRK
30.09.2024 Guingamp Guingamp 3-1 HT 1-0 Caen Caen FR2
03.08.2024 Caen Caen 1-6 HT 0-4 Guingamp Guingamp HAZ
17.02.2024 Guingamp Guingamp 1-0 HT 1-0 Caen Caen FR2
30.09.2023 Caen Caen 0-1 HT 0-0 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
25.02.2023 Guingamp Guingamp 1-2 HT 0-2 Caen Caen FR2

Caen 0-1 Guingamp — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Caen
0-1
AWAY Guingamp
0.83 xG 0.54
62% Ball Possession 38%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
498 Passes 286
88% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 11
28 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Caen vs Guingamp
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guingamp edged past Caen 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Guingamp as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Caen had 62% of the ball to Guingamp's 38%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.83 to 0.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guingamp led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Caen and 2.33 for Guingamp.

What was the final score of Caen vs Guingamp?

Caen 0-1 Guingamp in the France - Ligue 2 on 24/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caen vs Guingamp?

Before kick-off our model rated an Guingamp win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Caen 30%, draw 25%, Guingamp 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guingamp) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guingamp) ✗ BTTS Yes
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