Guingamp vs Bastia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Guingamp v Bastia — Team-Based Signals
Guingamp vs Bastia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Guingamp
FR2
1-1
HT 1-0
Guingamp
FR2
Guingamp 0-1 Bastia — Actual Match Statistics
Bastia nicked a narrow win over Guingamp 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Guingamp at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Guingamp had 69% of the ball to Bastia's 31%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.91 to 1.67.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bastia led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Guingamp and 1.33 for Bastia.
What was the final score of Guingamp vs Bastia?
Guingamp 0-1 Bastia in the France - Ligue 2 on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Guingamp vs Bastia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Guingamp win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Guingamp 41%, draw 27%, Bastia 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Guingamp), BTTS Yes went the other way.