Clermont 1-1 Montpellier — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 28 Oct 2025

Clermont
1-1 HT 1-1
Montpellier
📅28/10/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2025/2026

Clermont vs Montpellier Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.99
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.71
Over 2.5
37%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.76
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
17%
4.0
6+ Goals
8%
18.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.76 — our 37% vs market 29.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.96
1/2
9%
28.0
1/X
6%
14.2
X/1
11%
6.52
X/2
9%
4.83
X/X
15%
4.34
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
24%
3.14
2/X
9%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-0.9pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.4pp
41%
Away Win
43%
-1.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
55%
+8.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
45%
-8.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.1pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Clermont v Montpellier — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Clermont EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Montpellier EU Bookmakers 46%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
0.91/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/0.09
-20% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +150%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 80%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
21.3 Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards –

Clermont vs Montpellier Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Clermont
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Montpellier
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.89 xG 1.95
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
305 Passes 354
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
14.04.2024 Clermont Clermont 1-1 HT 1-0 Montpellier Montpellier FR1
29.11.2023 Montpellier Montpellier 1-1 HT 0-1 Clermont Clermont FR1
08.10.2023 Montpellier Montpellier 4-2 HT 2-2 Clermont Clermont FR1
19.03.2023 Montpellier Montpellier 2-1 HT 0-1 Clermont Clermont FR1
06.11.2022 Clermont Clermont 1-1 HT 0-1 Montpellier Montpellier FR1
08.05.2022 Clermont Clermont 2-1 HT 1-1 Montpellier Montpellier FR1

Clermont 1-1 Montpellier — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Clermont
1-1
AWAY Montpellier
1.54 xG 1.74
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 10
271 Passes 446
81% Pass Accuracy 88%
21 Box Touches 33
19 Crosses 25
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Clermont vs Montpellier
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Clermont and Montpellier couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Montpellier at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Clermont had 40% of the ball to Montpellier's 60%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 1.54 to 1.74.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Montpellier led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Clermont and 1.67 for Montpellier.

What was the final score of Clermont vs Montpellier?

Clermont 1-1 Montpellier in the France - Ligue 2 on 28/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Clermont vs Montpellier?

Before kick-off our model rated an Montpellier win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Clermont 29%, draw 30%, Montpellier 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Montpellier), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Montpellier) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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