York United vs Atletico Ottawa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
York United v Atletico Ottawa — Team-Based Signals
York United vs Atletico Ottawa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
York United 4-1 Atletico Ottawa — Actual Match Statistics
York United ran out comfortable winners over Atletico Ottawa 4-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had York United as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, York United had 47% of the ball to Atletico Ottawa's 53%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 1.84 to 0.66.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for York United and 1.17 for Atletico Ottawa.
What was the final score of York United vs Atletico Ottawa?
York United 4-1 Atletico Ottawa in the Kanada - Premier League on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for York United vs Atletico Ottawa?
Before kick-off our model rated a York United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split York United 44%, draw 24%, Atletico Ottawa 32%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (York United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.