HFX Wanderers 1-3 Forge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 2 May 2026

📅02/05/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.5
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
49%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.9
No
45%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.61
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
3.98
6+ Goals
8%
19.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
10%
X/2
25%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+2.7pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.3pp
49%
Away Win
48%
+0.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.5pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HFX Wanderers EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Forge EU Bookmakers 52%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +19%
1.21/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.01
+16% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / +150%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
265 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 82%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
16.2 Crosses 16.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HFX Wanderers
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Forge
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.20 xG 1.28
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
379 Passes 408
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.09.2025 Forge Forge 1-0 HT 0-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
26.07.2025 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 1-2 HT 1-1 Forge Forge KAPL
08.06.2025 Forge Forge 2-1 HT 1-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
03.05.2025 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 0-0 HT 0-0 Forge Forge KAPL
14.09.2024 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 3-0 HT 1-0 Forge Forge KAPL
15.08.2024 Forge Forge 2-0 HT 1-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HFX Wanderers
1-3
AWAY Forge
1.28 xG 1.13
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
351 Passes 360
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH HFX Wanderers vs Forge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forge saw off HFX Wanderers 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Forge as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, HFX Wanderers had 47% of the ball to Forge's 53%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 1.28 to 1.13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Forge led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for HFX Wanderers and 1.17 for Forge.

What was the final score of HFX Wanderers vs Forge?

HFX Wanderers 1-3 Forge in the Kanada - Premier League on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HFX Wanderers vs Forge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Forge win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split HFX Wanderers 28%, draw 24%, Forge 49%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Forge), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Forge) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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