HFX Wanderers vs Forge Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
HFX Wanderers v Forge — Team-Based Signals
HFX Wanderers vs Forge Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
HFX Wanderers 1-2 Forge — Actual Match Statistics
Forge nicked a narrow win over HFX Wanderers 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Forge as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, HFX Wanderers had 49% of the ball to Forge's 51%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 0.95 to 0.65.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Forge led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for HFX Wanderers and 1.50 for Forge.
What was the final score of HFX Wanderers vs Forge?
HFX Wanderers 1-2 Forge in the Kanada - Premier League on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for HFX Wanderers vs Forge?
Before kick-off our model rated an Forge win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split HFX Wanderers 32%, draw 26%, Forge 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Forge) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.