Vancouver FC 1-3 Valour — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 26 Jul 2025

📅26/07/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
38%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.87
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.75
6+ Goals
8%
16.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.87 — our 29% vs market 28.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
39%
-5.1pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
38%
Away Win
33%
+4.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.8pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vancouver FC EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Valour EU Bookmakers 37%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -39% / -39%
0.53/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/3.25
-58% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / -55%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
308 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 79%
14.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
18.7 Crosses 20.7
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vancouver FC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Valour
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.32 xG 1.13
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
353 Passes 285
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.06.2025 Valour Valour 3-1 HT 1-1 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC KAPL
04.05.2025 Valour Valour 1-3 HT 0-2 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC KAPL
14.10.2024 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 1-1 Valour Valour KAPL
25.08.2024 Valour Valour 1-2 HT 0-1 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC KAPL
03.06.2024 Valour Valour 2-0 HT 1-0 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC CAPL
15.04.2024 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 4-1 HT 1-1 Valour Valour CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vancouver FC
1-3
AWAY Valour
1.06 xG 1.09
68% Ball Possession 32%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
456 Passes 170
86% Pass Accuracy 66%
26 Box Touches 12
30 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Vancouver FC vs Valour
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valour beat Vancouver FC 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 38% — and on the day Valour made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vancouver FC had 68% of the ball to Valour's 32%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.06 to 1.09.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vancouver FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Vancouver FC and 1.50 for Valour.

What was the final score of Vancouver FC vs Valour?

Vancouver FC 1-3 Valour in the Kanada - Premier League on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vancouver FC vs Valour?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valour win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Vancouver FC 34%, draw 28%, Valour 38%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valour) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Valour) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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