Valour 3-1 Vancouver FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 4 Jun 2025

📅04/06/2025 · 🕒19:25 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
39%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.78
Over 2.5
42%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.76
No
56%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.92
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
3.69
6+ Goals
10%
15.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 30% vs market 27.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
42%
-8.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
39%
Away Win
32%
+7.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.4pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valour EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Vancouver FC EU Bookmakers 36%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.44/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.79
-46% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +94% / -45%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
326 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 79%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
21.6 Crosses 13.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valour
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Vancouver FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.00 xG 1.18
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
329 Passes 318
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 24
21 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2025 Valour Valour 1-3 HT 0-2 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC KAPL
14.10.2024 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 1-1 Valour Valour KAPL
25.08.2024 Valour Valour 1-2 HT 0-1 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC KAPL
03.06.2024 Valour Valour 2-0 HT 1-0 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC CAPL
15.04.2024 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 4-1 HT 1-1 Valour Valour CAPL
21.09.2023 Valour Valour 0-1 HT 0-0 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valour
3-1
AWAY Vancouver FC
1.94 xG 1.30
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 8
280 Passes 379
83% Pass Accuracy 87%
29 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Valour vs Vancouver FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valour saw off Vancouver FC 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; Valour found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Valour had 44% of the ball to Vancouver FC's 56%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.94 to 1.30.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vancouver FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Valour and 1.83 for Vancouver FC.

What was the final score of Valour vs Vancouver FC?

Valour 3-1 Vancouver FC in the Kanada - Premier League on 04/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valour vs Vancouver FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vancouver FC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Valour 33%, draw 28%, Vancouver FC 39%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vancouver FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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