Forge 2-1 HFX Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 8 Jun 2025

📅08/06/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.97
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.63
6+ Goals
9%
15.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.97 — our 30% vs market 26.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
47%
-6.8pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.0pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forge EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY HFX Wanderers EU Bookmakers 30%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -5%
1.52/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.57
+38% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -27%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
336 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 80%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
13.7 Crosses 12.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forge
2W-2D-2L
AWAY HFX Wanderers
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.41 xG 1.28
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
421 Passes 362
87% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.05.2025 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 0-0 HT 0-0 Forge Forge KAPL
14.09.2024 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 3-0 HT 1-0 Forge Forge KAPL
15.08.2024 Forge Forge 2-0 HT 1-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
28.07.2024 Forge Forge 3-0 HT 2-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
15.06.2024 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 2-2 HT 0-0 Forge Forge CAPL
30.09.2023 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 2-1 HT 2-1 Forge Forge CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Forge
2-1
AWAY HFX Wanderers
1.55 xG 1.27
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 4
335 Passes 422
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
31 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Forge vs HFX Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forge edged past HFX Wanderers 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) promised a tight game; Forge found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Forge had 46% of the ball to HFX Wanderers's 54%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 1.55 to 1.27.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Forge and 1.17 for HFX Wanderers.

What was the final score of Forge vs HFX Wanderers?

Forge 2-1 HFX Wanderers in the Kanada - Premier League on 08/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forge vs HFX Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Forge win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Forge 40%, draw 29%, HFX Wanderers 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Forge) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Forge) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KAPL More Kanada - Premier League
8 Jun 2025
01:00 Pacific FC vs Atletico Ottawa Analysis →