HFX Wanderers 3-0 Forge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 14 Sep 2024

HFX Wanderers
3-0 HT 1-0
Forge
📅14/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Kanada - Premier League – 2024

HFX Wanderers vs Forge Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
36%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.63
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.33
6+ Goals
10%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.63 — our 29% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+4.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
36%
Away Win
40%
-3.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.5pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

HFX Wanderers v Forge — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HFX Wanderers EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Forge EU Bookmakers 43%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.76/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/0.94
+24% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +57%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
320 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 82%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
15.7 Crosses 15.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.2

HFX Wanderers vs Forge Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HFX Wanderers
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Forge
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.09 xG 1.52
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
349 Passes 419
84% Pass Accuracy 87%
17 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
15.08.2024 Forge Forge 2-0 HT 1-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
28.07.2024 Forge Forge 3-0 HT 2-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
15.06.2024 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 2-2 HT 0-0 Forge Forge CAPL
30.09.2023 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 2-1 HT 2-1 Forge Forge CAPL
20.08.2023 Forge Forge 1-1 HT 0-1 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers CAPL
01.07.2023 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 2-1 HT 1-0 Forge Forge KAPL

HFX Wanderers 3-0 Forge — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HFX Wanderers
3-0
AWAY Forge
2.44 xG 0.11
44% Ball Possession 56%
16 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 2
350 Passes 455
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
26 Box Touches 7
12 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH HFX Wanderers vs Forge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HFX Wanderers ran out comfortable winners over Forge 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; HFX Wanderers found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, HFX Wanderers had 44% of the ball to Forge's 56%, shots finished 16-4, expected goals 2.44 to 0.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for HFX Wanderers and 1.67 for Forge.

What was the final score of HFX Wanderers vs Forge?

HFX Wanderers 3-0 Forge in the Kanada - Premier League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HFX Wanderers vs Forge?

Before kick-off our model rated a HFX Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split HFX Wanderers 39%, draw 25%, Forge 36%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HFX Wanderers), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (HFX Wanderers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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