York United 1-1 Valour — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
34%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.79
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
26%
3.22
6+ Goals
9%
11.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.79 — our 27% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
51%
-10.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.6pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+9.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.5pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME York United EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Valour EU Bookmakers 28%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.47/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/2.62
+18% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -34%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
394 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 79%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
19.9 Crosses 18.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME York United
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Valour
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.58 xG 1.54
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
394 Passes 339
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
12.08.2024 Valour Valour 0-1 HT 0-0 York United York United KAPL
28.06.2024 Valour Valour 1-0 HT 1-0 York United York United CAPL
11.05.2024 York United York United 3-1 HT 0-1 Valour Valour CAPL
09.09.2023 York United York United 1-3 HT 0-1 Valour Valour CAPL
24.07.2023 Valour Valour 1-2 HT 1-2 York United York United KAPL
04.06.2023 Valour Valour 1-1 HT 0-0 York United York United KAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME York United
1-1
AWAY Valour
1.02 xG 0.78
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
556 Passes 351
90% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Box Touches 8
29 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH York United vs Valour
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

York United and Valour couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, York United had 60% of the ball to Valour's 40%, shots finished 11-5, expected goals 1.02 to 0.78.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, York United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for York United and 1.17 for Valour.

What was the final score of York United vs Valour?

York United 1-1 Valour in the Kanada - Premier League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for York United vs Valour?

Before kick-off our model rated a York United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split York United 40%, draw 26%, Valour 33%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (York United)
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