Forge vs HFX Wanderers Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Forge v HFX Wanderers — Team-Based Signals
Forge vs HFX Wanderers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Forge 1-0 HFX Wanderers — Actual Match Statistics
Forge nicked a narrow win over HFX Wanderers 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Forge as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Forge had 47% of the ball to HFX Wanderers's 53%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 2.64 to 1.11 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Forge's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Forge had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Forge and 0.83 for HFX Wanderers.
What was the final score of Forge vs HFX Wanderers?
Forge 1-0 HFX Wanderers in the Kanada - Premier League on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Forge vs HFX Wanderers?
Before kick-off our model rated a Forge win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Forge 56%, draw 23%, HFX Wanderers 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Forge) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.