York United vs Cavalry Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
York United v Cavalry — Team-Based Signals
York United vs Cavalry Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
York United 3-1 Cavalry — Actual Match Statistics
York United beat Cavalry 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Cavalry at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, York United had 40% of the ball to Cavalry's 60%, shots finished 6-9, expected goals 1.13 to 1.35.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cavalry led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for York United and 1.50 for Cavalry.
What was the final score of York United vs Cavalry?
York United 3-1 Cavalry in the Kanada - Premier League on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for York United vs Cavalry?
Before kick-off our model rated an Cavalry win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split York United 33%, draw 25%, Cavalry 42%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.