Cavalry 2-1 York United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 9 Jun 2025

📅09/06/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.9
Over 2.5
55%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.96
No
49%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.15
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.45
6+ Goals
11%
13.55
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.45 — our 28% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
61%
-7.1pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.4pp
20%
Away Win
17%
+3.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
49%
-3.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
51%
+3.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.2pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cavalry EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY York United EU Bookmakers 20%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
1.30/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.46
+10% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
19.9 Crosses 15.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cavalry
4W-1D-1L
AWAY York United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.22 xG 0.85
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
272 Passes 350
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 4
03.05.2025 York United York United 1-2 HT 1-1 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
21.09.2024 York United York United 0-2 HT 0-1 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
17.08.2024 York United York United 1-2 HT 1-1 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
13.07.2024 Cavalry Cavalry 1-2 HT 0-0 York United York United KAPL
19.05.2024 Cavalry Cavalry 2-2 HT 1-0 York United York United CAPL
23.09.2023 York United York United 0-1 HT 0-1 Cavalry Cavalry CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cavalry
2-1
AWAY York United
1.63 xG 1.04
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 4
352 Passes 440
86% Pass Accuracy 88%
14 Box Touches 22
4 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Cavalry vs York United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cavalry nicked a narrow win over York United 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cavalry as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Cavalry had 44% of the ball to York United's 56%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 1.63 to 1.04.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cavalry had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Cavalry and 1.00 for York United.

What was the final score of Cavalry vs York United?

Cavalry 2-1 York United in the Kanada - Premier League on 09/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cavalry vs York United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cavalry win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Cavalry 54%, draw 26%, York United 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cavalry), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cavalry) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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