York United vs Cavalry Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
York United v Cavalry — Team-Based Signals
York United vs Cavalry Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Cavalry
CAPL
2-1
HT 1-0
York United
CAPL
York United 1-2 Cavalry — Actual Match Statistics
Cavalry squeezed past York United 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Cavalry as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, York United had 55% of the ball to Cavalry's 45%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 0.38 to 0.89.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cavalry led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for York United and 1.67 for Cavalry.
What was the final score of York United vs Cavalry?
York United 1-2 Cavalry in the Kanada - Premier League on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for York United vs Cavalry?
Before kick-off our model rated an Cavalry win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split York United 26%, draw 30%, Cavalry 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cavalry) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.