York United 0-2 Cavalry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.8
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.18
6+ Goals
11%
20.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
+0.6pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.3pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.4pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME York United EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Cavalry EU Bookmakers 40%
-14% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.22/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.29
-34% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
295 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 80%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
21.1 Crosses 15.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME York United
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Cavalry
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.99 xG 1.07
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
342 Passes 281
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 3
17.08.2024 York United York United 1-2 HT 1-1 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
13.07.2024 Cavalry Cavalry 1-2 HT 0-0 York United York United KAPL
19.05.2024 Cavalry Cavalry 2-2 HT 1-0 York United York United CAPL
23.09.2023 York United York United 0-1 HT 0-1 Cavalry Cavalry CAPL
21.08.2023 Cavalry Cavalry 2-1 HT 1-0 York United York United CAPL
25.06.2023 Cavalry Cavalry 2-1 HT 0-0 York United York United KAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME York United
0-2
AWAY Cavalry
0.51 xG 1.44
62% Ball Possession 38%
6 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
389 Passes 229
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 25
36 Crosses 10
6 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH York United vs Cavalry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cavalry beat York United 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Cavalry made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, York United had 62% of the ball to Cavalry's 38%, shots finished 6-14, expected goals 0.51 to 1.44.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cavalry led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for York United and 1.67 for Cavalry.

What was the final score of York United vs Cavalry?

York United 0-2 Cavalry in the Kanada - Premier League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for York United vs Cavalry?

Before kick-off our model rated a York United win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split York United 36%, draw 28%, Cavalry 36%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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