Atletico Ottawa 3-1 Pacific FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.28
2-3 Goals
48%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
3.34
6+ Goals
9%
12.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-5.6pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.3pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+5.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.3pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Ottawa EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Pacific FC EU Bookmakers 24%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.91/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.21
-7% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 74%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
17.9 Crosses 17.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Ottawa
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Pacific FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.15 xG 0.74
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
321 Passes 401
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.09.2024 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 1-1 HT 1-0 Pacific FC Pacific FC KAPL
18.08.2024 Pacific FC Pacific FC 0-3 HT 0-3 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
07.07.2024 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 0-1 HT 0-1 Pacific FC Pacific FC KAPL
18.05.2024 Pacific FC Pacific FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa CAPL
14.09.2023 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 1-1 HT 0-1 Pacific FC Pacific FC CAPL
13.08.2023 Pacific FC Pacific FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Ottawa
3-1
AWAY Pacific FC
1.75 xG 1.89
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 2
463 Passes 327
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 21
9 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atletico Ottawa vs Pacific FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Ottawa saw off Pacific FC 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atletico Ottawa as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Atletico Ottawa had 56% of the ball to Pacific FC's 44%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 1.75 to 1.89.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Ottawa had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Atletico Ottawa and 0.50 for Pacific FC.

What was the final score of Atletico Ottawa vs Pacific FC?

Atletico Ottawa 3-1 Pacific FC in the Kanada - Premier League on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Ottawa vs Pacific FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Ottawa win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Atletico Ottawa 50%, draw 24%, Pacific FC 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Ottawa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Ottawa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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